The Baseball Edge

The Baseball Edge is a subscription service that leverages a proprietary statistical model, powered by AI and advanced statistics, to analyze betting lines from the most popular US sportsbooks. Our goal is to identify betting edges in MLB games that offer the best value for bettors, delivering these insights in near real-time directly to our subscribers' inboxes.

Our model compares public betting lines with the outcome probabilities our betting model has identified. When there's a significant difference, we consider it an EDGE. We analyze lines from leading sportsbooks to ensure the EDGE we identify uses the optimal line available for each team.

Yes, we post every play on Twitter five minutes before the first pitch. Please note that the posted play may not always reflect the current line, but it serves to document every play transparently. Additionally, we provide a daily recap on Twitter that includes the record of posted plays, the weekly record to date, and the overall record with total units won and ROI. This allows you to see our performance clearly and make informed decisions.

The frequency of email recommendations varies, as our model operates without human bias or daily minimums or maximums. Some days you may receive multiple recommendations, while other days there might be none. Our focus is on quality and value, not quantity.

Our emails detail the identified edge based on the best line available at the time. If the line moves in favor of the identified team, it's still considered a value play. However, if the line moves against the identified team, the value might be lessened. We advise using your discretion and monitoring lines closely.

No, there are no guarantees in sports betting. Our model seeks to identify value plays that, over the long term, are expected to offer a positive return on investment (ROI). In 2023, for example, despite a losing record, our model achieved a 16% ROI by focusing on consistent value plays.

We recommend using the edges identified by our model to inform your betting decisions. However, unit size and bankroll management are your responsibility. It's important to understand your tolerance for risk and make decisions that align with your betting strategy.

No, we do not rank plays into traditional levels of confidence. Our model focuses on identifying value based on the calculated edge. Larger plays often involve heavy underdogs, which may win less frequently but offer significant returns over time.

No, The Baseball Edge is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Major League Baseball (MLB) or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates. All trademarks and copyrights are the property of their respective owners.

We highly value our subscribers' feedback and are always looking to improve The Baseball Edge. If you have suggestions or comments, please reach out to us at syd@thebaseballedge.net. Your insights are crucial to our continued growth and success.